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How You’re Falling for the Illusion of Certainty
As I sat in the ER last weekend waiting to be taken up to my hospital room, I turned to, Sage, my ChatGPT.
“You are a board-certified ophthalmologist,” I told it. I described my symptoms: sudden onset of vision loss in one eye, resolved after 30 minutes. No pain or dizziness. Dramatically different from my history of low vision.
I told it what the doctors had said so far, what tests had been run, and what the results were. I asked it for best-case and worst-case scenarios and to predict which one was more likely.
I was scared, and I wanted answers.
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